Employee Advisory, Friday, July 13, 2001
A message from George Warrington:
As I have often said, Amtrak's success as a business is based on growth:
improved service, increased ticket revenue, and expanded non-core
performance.
Our determination to grow has been fairly successful over the
past several
years. We've had four straight years of passenger and ticket
revenue growth,
and last year set a record, serving 22.5 million guests. But
I want to
continue to be honest and candid about our financial results. The
slowdown
in the nation's economy over the past six months, especially in
the service
sector, is having an adverse impact on all segments of the
travel industry,
from airlines to car rental, hotels, and even us at Amtrak.
While some
economic analysts believe they see signs of a recovery, last
week's news
of the first quarterly employment contraction in the service
sector in
more than 40 years was disappointing. Fortunately,Amtrak has not
been hit
as hard as others in the service sector, such as the airlines,which
analysts
believe will collectively lose as much as $1 billion this year as
the number
of their passengers has declined overall since last year.
Thankfully, Amtrak
has been able to continue to grow above our results of the
same period
last year. Our June ticket revenue of $107.6 million was up 5.4
percent
over last year, and was our best June on record. Despite the adverse
economic
conditions for the last nine months, we have sustained about a
10-percent
growth in ticket revenue as compared to the same period last
year. But
our non-passenger revenue is currently down about 4 percent, hurt
in part
by slowing revenue in our contract shop work, as well as our Mail
and Express
business, which had seen annual growth of more than 20 percent
for the
past two years. But despite our overall continued growth, we are
not meeting
the forecasts we set before the economy took a downturn. So in
this fiscal
year, we've had to reduce expenses even more diligently in
order to meet
our financial targets.
The second impact of less-than-forecast growth this year means that we
start with a lower base from which to forecast growth for the coming year.
While I am hopeful that the economy will improve, we need to plan next
year's budget with the assumption that the economy will continue at a
slower pace. This is significant, and will require an in-depth review of
every aspect of the way in which we do usiness. This review is under way
right now and will continue through the summer.
First, I expect that many,
many ideas for cost-cutting will be reviewed, with some implemented, some
discarded, and others held onto as options. Depending on economic conditions
and the performance of our business, fewer measures or more measures may
be
necessary. Second, we will be constantly monitoring the market to
capitalize
on adjustments to our business plan, whether it's changing equipment or
offering special promotions, such as our summer 30-percent-off fare. Third,
we will review and implement efficiency proposals, some of which may involve
organizational restructuring when they become final.
I have always put a
premium on being candid and straight. As senior management considers all
options, I ask that you continue to provide your full support and dedication
to your work. In the long run, our success in facing these challenges will
mean an Amtrak that is stronger, more financially stable and better
positioned
for
the future.